Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, however, easier said than done and involves more than just a little reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, lots of people would be making money and the sportsbooks betting would have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. However, if you keep the following tips in mind, it should improve your chances of winning.
Tips #1 – Bet as early as you can
Many of the sportsbooks post their lines as early as they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you find a game and odds that you like make sure that there are no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Tips #2 – Concentrate on a few teams
Because knowledge is important, if you concentrate on a few teams, you can build up a substantial amount of knowledge that you can use in making your bets. Also, limit your betting to just a few games every Sunday.
Tips #3 – Avoid heavy favourites
The crowd loves favourites and will rush to bet on them. However, they are not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you do win a few, the payouts will be small. The best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, when you win, you generally make more than you have a bet.
Tips #4 – Use totals judiciously
Totals set early in the week are generally based on predictions of good weather. In late-season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do well by betting the Under
Tips #5 – Use yards per play ranking
One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play and the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose end up winning more games. The statistics are easily available and you can calculate the difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 dollars are worth one point. A differential of 0.60 dollars between the two teams is worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
There is a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and therefore best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet can make sense.
Tips #7 – Pay attention to the injury reports
Read the injury reports carefully to determine what difference it is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Do not just look at key players because all the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.
Source by Jase Sherlock